Sunday, September 10, 2017

September 10, 2017

In our last full update on August 26, we discussed the imminent fall from the top spot for Mark Watzke after a fairly long stretch of pool dominance. Since that time, Danton Boller, Garrett Schwab, Brian Wells and Mike Levine have all held or shared first place for a day or more, but today's update finds Watzke back on top.

Chris Sale earning his 16th win last night and taking over sole possession of the AL lead in that category is the key development, with Boller and Wells, as well as Jud Ehrbar and Dan McCloskey dropping a point due to Corey Kluber falling out of the top spot. The Dodgers' failure to provide Kenley Jansen with any save opportunities has also proven to be beneficial to Mark, as both Boller and Wells have Jansen in this category.

Another key development from yesterday is the Jimmy Nelson injury, with the Brewers announcing their top starting pitcher is out for the season. Among the pool's top ten, only Ehrbar, Levine and Schwab didn't pick Nelson for their NL HBP pitcher, so his injury could help their chances in our tiebreaker category.

Other statistical races to keep an eye on during the season's final month:

  • Clayton Kershaw is currently in a three-way tie for NL wins. Should he fall in this category, it will be a detriment to the pool chances for Bohler, Ehrbar, McCloskey, Schwab and Michael Orobona.
  • Jose Altuve only leads Cameron Maybin for AL stolen bases by one, with several others only three steals behind. Boller and Levine will be hurt most if Altuve can't hold on. 
  • Giancarlo Stanton has 40 RBI to Nolan Arenado's 26 since August 1 and now trails by just four in this category. Somewhat surprisingly, no one picked Stanton to win NL RBI, but Levine, McCloskey, Schwab and Jason Salavon would gain a point on the other contenders (Boller, Wells, Watzke, Ehrbar, Orobona, Daltry/Lovejoy) if Arenado should fall. 
With the season ending three weeks from today, it still appears as if almost half of the pool still has at least an outside chance to win it. Obviously, some have lesser chances than others, but it's shaping up for our race to emulate the messy AL wild card race, and that's surely a good thing. 



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